10-20-2014, 12:20 AM
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#3201
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NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Drury18
Let's analyze this vote:
Now after this post, Rathji voted for formulate and then Squiggs96 did as well. They get taken off the non-voters list.
I'd like to know why Puxlut, GGG, Aenaes and GirlySports didn't toss in a vote here.
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beating a dead horse?
__________________
Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
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The Following User Says Thank You to GirlySports For This Useful Post:
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10-20-2014, 12:34 AM
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#3202
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Scoring Winger
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: In the now
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-----Dead Post-----
A curse on both your houses!
(Loud, wet fart)
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10-20-2014, 12:40 AM
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#3203
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Franchise Player
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Unvote
We pretty much have to make sure we get this one right. I'm going to reread some things when I get a chance.
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10-20-2014, 12:46 AM
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#3204
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Franchise Player
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GGG, just because it's my biggest reason for voting you and I can't really shake it, how did you know Formulate was confirmed as serial killer as early as you did? You were right, but you were one of the first to suggest ECF was lying with his reveal, why didn't you consider the possibility that Formulate was lying with his reveal?
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10-20-2014, 04:34 AM
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#3205
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First Line Centre
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Haven't fully caught up yet, but GGG mentioned how it is too dangerous to waste a day on lynching him, however, we got the SK yesterday and now have been blessed with more time.
Testing lynchability will not be too dangerous.
Earlier I mentioned that GGG was an outlier in my voting analysis. At the time, he had hit 29% (2 for 7) known townies with his votes in the first 1500 posts. No one else did better than that. Wood and Pux scored 60%, mrkajz scored 50%, and ECF and I scored 40%. Townies wouldn't know who is mafia, and would likely hit a few townies. The mafia know who each other are, and would likely not want to be seen voting for people that will eventually flip mafia. I am guessing that he threw a vote or two on mafia to create a record of distance, while also targeting players who wouldn't get flipped early in the game.
He probably stayed away from the players that the town was likely to vote out, probably helped along by the rest of the mafia.
Vote: GGG
Well played.
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10-20-2014, 04:45 AM
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#3206
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First Line Centre
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Also, at the opposite end was Squiggs and Baxter(Aeneas) who each voted 3 for 4 at the time.
Checking back, Baxter(Aeneas) was actually 4 for 4, while Squiggs voted for baxter.
These numbers are # of unique targets who flipped town.
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10-20-2014, 05:58 AM
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#3207
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First Line Centre
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Looked at gggs numbers, I guess it is dangerous, but worth it I think.
Also, I was protected last night. I am suspecting that it could be a ploy to lull the cop into a false sense of security. So maybe take it with a grain of salt?
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10-20-2014, 06:03 AM
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#3208
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First Line Centre
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Also, why protect me and not a cop candidate?
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10-20-2014, 06:37 AM
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#3209
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Supporting Urban Sprawl
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Quick skim through, but it has me sold on the GGG logic.
Vote: GGG
__________________
"Wake up, Luigi! The only time plumbers sleep on the job is when we're working by the hour."
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10-20-2014, 07:04 AM
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#3210
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Franchise Player
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Here's where my issue lies GGG. Correct me if I am wrong, but weren't you going on before about how lynching you is the only way to confirm you are town? Ignoring the horrible logic behind that argument, what has changed? Now that people want to lynch you it's "don't lynch me, it's a waste".
There has been a lot of oddities that have happened with you, so it's really hard to see you as town when you add them all up. I really don't know if you are scum and lying, or town and just really put yourself in a bad position.
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10-20-2014, 07:17 AM
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#3211
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oling_Roachinen
GGG, just because it's my biggest reason for voting you and I can't really shake it, how did you know Formulate was confirmed as serial killer as early as you did? You were right, but you were one of the first to suggest ECF was lying with his reveal, why didn't you consider the possibility that Formulate was lying with his reveal?
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I think you are mis reading my post.
I meant that your tracking results confirmed that formulate was guilty therefore that added to your town cred. I put serial killer in there because there was no benefit to fomulates to lie. Hence you caught the serial killer so that gave you some town cred.
Take it for how you want. This lynch is happening way to fast though, we need to stretch it out. What is the plan after lynching me.
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10-20-2014, 07:24 AM
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#3212
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hockeyguy15
Here's where my issue lies GGG. Correct me if I am wrong, but weren't you going on before about how lynching you is the only way to confirm you are town? Ignoring the horrible logic behind that argument, what has changed? Now that people want to lynch you it's "don't lynch me, it's a waste".
There has been a lot of oddities that have happened with you, so it's really hard to see you as town when you add them all up. I really don't know if you are scum and lying, or town and just really put yourself in a bad position.
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What changed is I did the Math and we are now later in the game. If there are 5 mafia we have two misses. I should have done the Math sooner.
As for the logic of lynching me proving me town, it had better. Because if you believe Mazrim created a lynchproof, bulletproof, investigation proof, poison proof scum that couldn't be killed once the day vig power was used we should all quit.
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10-20-2014, 07:28 AM
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#3213
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
What changed is I did the Math and we are now later in the game. If there are 5 mafia we have two misses. I should have done the Math sooner.
As for the logic of lynching me proving me town, it had better. Because if you believe Mazrim created a lynchproof, bulletproof, investigation proof, poison proof scum that couldn't be killed once the day vig power was used we should all quit.
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It could be a one time power, similar to the one Matt claimed. I'm still on the fence.
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10-20-2014, 07:33 AM
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#3214
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
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Quote:
Originally Posted by starseed
Also, why protect me and not a cop candidate?
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How do you know that you were protected?
I would suspect that the scum redirector power moved that power. They have likely role copped several of our remaining people and know who has protection left.
I realize I'm on the block right now but I believe that full disclosure of powers and all actions needs to happen today or tomorrow. Clearing two people with our cop holds a lot of value. And by knowing all of the powers we can put together what happened.
vote Aeneas
I am voting for him because if he were the cop, he would have investigated the most suspicious person on his list a while ago. His suspicion has not changed since he entered the game. (Despite the fact that oling is right that I could be an investigation immune godfather this didn't come up until after I should have been investigated day 3) If he's not the cop it doesn't make sense that he and Baxter were so quiet.
Also on my list is Girlysports, and Squiggs.
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10-20-2014, 07:40 AM
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#3215
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dissentowner
I can tell you it came from an unknown source. I can tell you they offered me a bulletproof vest apparently stolen from The Eternals. My first thought on that was it won't work anyhow. And I refused to accept for the terms they asked. I saw no benefit to doing what they wanted.
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Not to steer anything off GGG, but Diss what "terms" did they ask?
So there is a 3rd group, who can steal 'powers' from the Eternals?
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10-20-2014, 07:41 AM
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#3216
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hockeyguy15
It could be a one time power, similar to the one Matt claimed. I'm still on the fence.
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I think doing the math it makes no difference if you lynch me twice
8-5 lynch me, 7-5, lynch me 6-5. Either way we can't miss
9-4 lynch me, 8-4 lynch me, 7-4 either way we have 1 more miss.
So presuming there are no other extra kills out there if you lynch me once you should lynch me twice as their is no affect on our win condition. If there are extra kills out there then lynching me twice is not a good idea.
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10-20-2014, 07:47 AM
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#3217
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mazrim
"It's too bad I couldn't see my duty through here, because my associate and I were ready to purge this world of every trace of humanity and start over. The good Doctor was just trying to stop humanity from ruining what it had, but a robot kept stopping him. This time, it would have been my power suit alone that made our dream possible. It would have been a wonderful thing to see."
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Any ideas what Mazrim means here? I mean it sounds pretty straight forward that Formulate was working with an associate yet he was a Serial Killer, something I thought was strictly solo and he has a hidden role still as ???. Just some flavour I'm missing or?
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10-20-2014, 08:06 AM
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#3218
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Franchise Player
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Hey GGG, could you go through Drury18's transcript and tell us which messages were yours (and not the accused imposter)?
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10-20-2014, 08:16 AM
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#3219
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: California
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oling_Roachinen
Hey GGG, could you go through Drury18's transcript and tell us which messages were yours (and not the accused imposter)?
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Just the one releasing one investigation results was not me.
I should have created a log in in to put a star beside my name so no one could do that. For future twilight I am logging in and there will be a star beside my name.
Oling, who did you track last night and what were the results
Squiggs whose power did you push through.
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10-20-2014, 08:22 AM
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#3220
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
Just the one releasing one investigation results was not me.
I should have created a log in in to put a star beside my name so no one could do that. For future twilight I am logging in and there will be a star beside my name.
Oling, who did you track last night and what were the results
Squiggs whose power did you push through.
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I tracked Rathji.
So, you posted that last one about being suspicious of Starseed?
Quote:
Says he is suspicious of starseed's investigations on Wood as Formulate didn't flip bulletproof. Needs to read confession again.
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I don't even get what you're getting at. Like that doesn't make much sense at all to me. But in a short little bit you've wanted us to discuss if Drury18's power were anti-town, wanted Squiggs96 dead (and if he showed town you would be sure me or timbo were mafia) wanted girlysports dead, were suspicious of Starseed (by extension Puxlut), and voted Aeneas?
Lot of names there. Seems like just trying to get something to stick at this point.
Vote: GGG
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