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Old 04-14-2014, 09:53 AM   #201
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I'm not sure how trustworthy that site is.

I'd assume Lebrun is right until there's a better source.
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Old 04-14-2014, 09:53 AM   #202
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Guarantee a few just start looking at the last page, wanting to add their two cents in. And perhaps their two cents is asking when the lottery is starting .
I often do this. If a page is already pages and pages long by the time I see it, I'll usually just jump right to the end and see where the conversation is at that point.

If I have time (I usually don't), I'll cycle back around the the OP and see what started it.
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Old 04-14-2014, 09:56 AM   #203
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People should at least reference the OP before asking a question that is logically answered in the OP.

Just like it'd be frustrating to have someone ask what our odds are every 10 posts.
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Old 04-14-2014, 09:58 AM   #204
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I think we need to merge this with the Craig's List thread to create a 2014 draft super thread...mods?
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:01 AM   #205
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The draft lottery has 1001 combinations so there is one combination which would merit a redraw. The Devils have 16 possible combinations to win. I tend to agree with Lebrun's assessment, if Devils win the Sabres win essentially.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:02 AM   #206
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I think we need to merge this with the Craig's List thread to create a 2014 draft super thread...mods?
The draft is pretty much the most important thing between now and the end of June, I'd hope there's more than one thread on this board to discuss it.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:05 AM   #207
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I don't really have a source, but I do remember hearing that somewhere.
As for LeBrun's comment that they want to "keep the math right", the scenario he proposes does the actual opposite of that; adding 1.5% to the odds of the #1 team winning.
A re-draw would (I think) keeps the odds as they were intended.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:05 AM   #208
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The draft is pretty much the most important thing between now and the end of June, I'd hope there's more than one thread on this board to discuss it.
Oh, totally agree, I just don't wanna miss something! I just tend to follow along better when there's one thread basically discussing the same thing.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:27 AM   #209
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That's how I see it playing out. Buffalo takes Bennet over Reinhart because of dynamism and grit, Florida and Edmonton draft to fill needs, and Reinhart falls to Calgary.

Seems like lots of people think draisaitl is going to be drafted by the oilers... Have the oilers suggested this at some point? I'll be very happy to get Reinhart if that happens.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:30 AM   #210
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Seems like lots of people think draisaitl is going to be drafted by the oilers... Have the oilers suggested this at some point? I'll be very happy to get Reinhart if that happens.
http://blogs.edmontonjournal.com/201...te-these-guys/
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:37 AM   #211
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Certainly sounds like its 1. Ekblad, and 2. Draisaitl for the Oilers.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:37 AM   #212
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I kind of think Reinhart is being a little undervalued because he has been on the radar as the first pick for so long. I would be ecstatic if we somehow got him.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:38 AM   #213
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The Flames will win the lottery. You heard it here.
My gut is telling me the same thing. I had a stronger feeling of this when the Flames were in 26th though.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:40 AM   #214
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The Isles will win the lottery, that's just how we roll. That's ok though, as long as it's not Edmonton or Vancouver.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:45 AM   #215
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I kind of think Reinhart is being a little undervalued because he has been on the radar as the first pick for so long. I would be ecstatic if we somehow got him.
He is the guy that everybody has analyzed for 3 seasons now, so he is old news now.

The guys like Bennett, and Draisaitl who climbed up the rankings this year get more hype since they are shiny and new.

Similar to Barkov/Drouin vs Mackinnon last year.
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:56 AM   #216
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I think because of his size and postion, similar to what we saw with Barkov last year, Draisatl could go top 3 as well.

I do think people are focusing a little too much on last year and Jones slipping, while overall the concensus is not how it goes Jones slipping seems to be more of an anomoly than the norm and the top 3-5 usually go in the first 3-5 picks most years.
FWIW:
2012 - Bob McKenzie had Filip Forsberg ranked 3rd and he fell to 11 (Galchynuk was #5 and picked 3rd)
2011 - Adam Larssen was #2 in McKenzie's ranking and fell to 4 (Landeskog was 4 and picked 2nd)
2010 - Brandon Gormley was #4 and fell to 13, Fowler was #5 and fell to 12. Ryan Johnasen and Niederreiter were jumped up.

This would vary depending on who's rankings you are using obviously...
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Old 04-14-2014, 10:58 AM   #217
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Reinhart certainly feels like the type of player that the Flames would drool over. A heightened hockey sense, strong two way play, decent size and skating ability, a very good IQ.

I would doubt that Ekblad will be around by fourth, but if Reinhart is its a no brainer for me.
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Old 04-14-2014, 11:03 AM   #218
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I only ran it 3 times and the Flames won twice with Buffalo winning the other time.

I think it's hilarious that the Oilers put this on their website... Of course it would be great if the Flames won, but I don't think they should celebrate it and hype it up before it happens.
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Old 04-14-2014, 11:10 AM   #219
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The draft is pretty much the most important thing between now and the end of June, I'd hope there's more than one thread on this board to discuss it.
http://forum.calgarydraft.com
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Old 04-14-2014, 11:15 AM   #220
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Certainly sounds like its 1. Ekblad, and 2. Draisaitl for the Oilers.
If the Oiler take Draisaitl and we end up with Reinhart that would be amazing
We would owe Mac T and K Lowe a great deal of thanks
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