11-26-2012, 08:42 PM
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#601
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#1 Goaltender
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Richmond, BC
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OffsideSpecialist
Right now the Conservatives are leading in all three by-elections. Consider me surprised about Victoria.
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It's one poll out of 265. Dale Gann is going to come last.
Edit: He might not come last, but he sure aint winning.
Our by-election is between the NDP and Greens. Prob end up 38 (NDP) 28 (Green) 16 (Liberal) 15 (Tory).
__________________
"For thousands of years humans were oppressed - as some of us still are - by the notion that the universe is a marionette whose strings are pulled by a god or gods, unseen and inscrutable." - Carl Sagan
Freedom consonant with responsibility.
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11-26-2012, 08:42 PM
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#602
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Referee
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Over the hill
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Yup. And for those tracking raw numbers, a margin of 399 votes, slightly expanded.
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11-26-2012, 08:43 PM
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#603
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: 110
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fotze
You ever read their health inspection reports?
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Under new management! That makes it all good right? And come on, Greek food server in a gas station by...non Greeks, that's going to be gourmet!
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11-26-2012, 08:44 PM
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#604
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Fearmongerer
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Wondering when # became hashtag and not a number sign.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OffsideSpecialist
Right now the Conservatives are leading in all three by-elections. Consider me surprised about Victoria.
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Wont last.
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11-26-2012, 08:44 PM
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#605
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Oshawa
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Quote:
Originally Posted by evman150
It's one poll out of 265. Dale Gann is going to come last.
Edit: He might not come last, but he sure aint winning.
Our by-election is between the NDP and Greens. Prob end up 38 (NDP) 28 (Green) 16 (Liberal) 15 (Tory).
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My eyes failed me. For some reason I thought there was a more significant number of polls reporting 
I see now the NDP are leading. Everything is as it should be.
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Quote:
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Somewhere Leon Trotsky is an Oilers fan, because who better demonstrates his philosophy of the permanent revolution?
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11-26-2012, 08:44 PM
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#606
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First Line Centre
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4.8% for Crockatt with an even 100 polls reporting.
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11-26-2012, 08:45 PM
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#607
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Moscow
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Quote:
Originally Posted by evman150
Huh?
145 years in and we've got 5 parties represented in parliament.
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Touché. I don't know, it just feels to me like if there is another majority Conservative government, there will be more "unite the left" talk. Just my suspicion. Strategically, it just makes sense.
__________________
"Life of Russian hockey veterans is very hard," said Soviet hockey star Sergei Makarov. "Most of them don't have enough to eat these days. These old players are Russian legends."
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11-26-2012, 08:46 PM
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#608
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First Line Centre
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Crockatt by 4.4% with 106 polls reporting.
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11-26-2012, 08:46 PM
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#609
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Moscow
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Back down to 4.0%.
__________________
"Life of Russian hockey veterans is very hard," said Soviet hockey star Sergei Makarov. "Most of them don't have enough to eat these days. These old players are Russian legends."
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11-26-2012, 08:47 PM
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#610
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Referee
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Over the hill
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Right now, the spread is exactly what the polls predicted: Crockatt in the high 30s, Locke in the low 30s, Turner in the mid-20s.
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11-26-2012, 08:49 PM
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#611
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First Line Centre
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Gap closing a bit. 3.7% lead for Crockatt with 110 polls reporting.
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11-26-2012, 08:49 PM
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#612
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Moscow
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
I'm a fan of the instant-runoff. I would happily have marked Turner #2 in this election, and that addresses most of the issue with vote-splitting.
It does have the drawback that sometimes the consensus second choice winds up being elected (see Ed Stelmach) but I think it has key advantages as well.
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Isn't Stelmach the cautionary tale though? Alberta got stuck with the Premier that no one really wanted.
__________________
"Life of Russian hockey veterans is very hard," said Soviet hockey star Sergei Makarov. "Most of them don't have enough to eat these days. These old players are Russian legends."
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11-26-2012, 08:50 PM
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#613
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Fearmongerer
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Wondering when # became hashtag and not a number sign.
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Locke still has a real shot at this thing me thinks.
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11-26-2012, 08:50 PM
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#614
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Moscow
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3.5% now. Last dozen polls or so have consistently closed the gap.
__________________
"Life of Russian hockey veterans is very hard," said Soviet hockey star Sergei Makarov. "Most of them don't have enough to eat these days. These old players are Russian legends."
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11-26-2012, 08:50 PM
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#615
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Powerplay Quarterback
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by c.t.ner
My only issue with the election canada page is that we don't know which polls have been reported. I'd like to know if the Higher Density polls are still to come, those would favour Locke/Turner over Crockatt.
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What makes you think the percentages would be any different in "Higher Density" polls? This isn't exactly a large geographic area.
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11-26-2012, 08:51 PM
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#616
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Referee
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Over the hill
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Quote:
Originally Posted by transplant99
Locke still has a real shot at this thing me thinks.
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He might, though it's harder than you'd think to make up a margin of 330-odd votes. He has picked up nearly 70 in the last few updates, so you never know. As you pointed out earlier, a lot depends on where these votes are coming from.
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11-26-2012, 08:52 PM
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#617
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First Line Centre
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2.7% lead for Crockatt with 117 polls reporting.
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11-26-2012, 08:52 PM
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#618
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Moscow
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2.7%.
__________________
"Life of Russian hockey veterans is very hard," said Soviet hockey star Sergei Makarov. "Most of them don't have enough to eat these days. These old players are Russian legends."
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11-26-2012, 08:52 PM
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#619
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Calgary in Heart, Ottawa in Body
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Handsome B. Wonderful
What makes you think the percentages would be any different in "Higher Density" polls? This isn't exactly a large geographic area.
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My gut would say that Higher densities like the Belt line are more likely to sway towards Locke/Turner than the lower density areas like Mount Royal.
That's just a hunch though.
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11-26-2012, 08:53 PM
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#620
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Moscow
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2.3%. Seems like real momentum for Locke now.
__________________
"Life of Russian hockey veterans is very hard," said Soviet hockey star Sergei Makarov. "Most of them don't have enough to eat these days. These old players are Russian legends."
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