Rube's NFL Gambling Odyssey

[stampsx2]

I haven't done well at all this year. Enjoy that new office furniture I purchased for you this year sports select.

[HOOT]

Originally Posted by return to the red

Correct, did some checking and I was referring to the round robin. Like I said I've done well on straight up picking winners I think it's time to explore other gambling options.

And just to give you an example, for what I would do with MLB, was to bet on 5 games (usually -110 to +100) and put a 3 game Round Robin bet. Works out to 10U (10x3 game parlays) with a possible win of 70U.

If I had a good feeling about the bet I would do a 3 and 4 game round robin which would work out to a 15U bet (10x3 game parlay plus 5x4 game parlay) with a possible win of 135U.

Obviously this is only if you hit all the games correctly (and you can add a single bet so if you win all 5 games, extra 25U payout) to get the full payout but if you miss one or two games you can still make your bet back.

This is making me want to make this type of bet going into this weekend but I just don't know NFL like I do MLB to do it. In reality you can do a round robin of 5 games and make 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 game combo bets for 31U bet with a 207U payout. Just depends on how confident you are in the bet

You can do a max of 7 game round robin but then you are looking a 127U bet.

[return to the red]

Went to sign up on Sports Interaction again and apparantly I already have/had an account, only thing is I forgot I did so they banned my accounts due to "multiple accounts coming from a single IP address" or some wierd thing.

[HOOT]

Originally Posted by return to the red

Went to sign up on Sports Interaction again and apparantly I already have/had an account, only thing is I forgot I did so they banned my accounts due to "multiple accounts coming from a single IP address" or some wierd thing.

Just send them an email. I have always found their customer service to be good. I'm actually pretty sure I did the same thing when I was going between SportsAction (rip off!) and online betting.

[return to the red]

This weeks pick that I'm leaning towards without any research so far

Car vs Chi
SD vs Cle
Sea vs Det
Jax vs GB
Mia vs NYJ
Atl vs Philly
Indy vs Ten
NE vs STL
Wash vs Pitt
Oak vs KC
NYG vs Dal
NO vs Denv
SF vs ARZ

[HOOT]

Small sample but bye week teams are 7-2-1 ATS so far this year using the average closing spread. It would be 8-1-1 if the Chicago line didn't move from -5.5 to -6.5, and the other lose was Carolina vs Dallas who tacked on an extra field goal. Push was the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia which could go either a push or lose depending on -2 or -2.5 spread.

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by return to the red

This weeks pick that I'm leaning towards without any research so far

Car vs Chi
SD vs Cle
Sea vs Det
Jax vs GB
Mia vs NYJ
Atl vs Philly
Indy vs Ten
NE vs STL
Wash vs Pitt
Oak vs KC
NYG vs Dal
NO vs Denv
SF vs ARZ

I will warn you that Oakland has won their last 5 visits to Arrowhead. Even with Jamarcus Russel at QB completing 6 passes a game they'd still win the game. Oakland isn't good...but they have scored some points the past few weeks. Kansas City hasn't scored an offensive TD the past two games.

[return to the red]

Originally Posted by Sylvanfan

I will warn you that Oakland has won their last 5 visits to Arrowhead. Even with Jamarcus Russel at QB completing 6 passes a game they'd still win the game. Oakland isn't good...but they have scored some points the past few weeks. Kansas City hasn't scored an offensive TD the past two games.

Thanks for the heads up. I just don't trust Palmer at QB though.

On another note, just got a call from the pub that I threw $5 in on their weekly pool and I won this week taking home $140 now I'm only down $40 after 2 wins

[HOOT]

Well since RTTR peaked my interest in Round Robin bets for NFL I'm gonna make one for this coming week. Not gonna lie I'm not very confident in my picks but I didn't want to double down on games I already picked this week. We will see I guess...

5 Game Round Robin, 3x Combo, 10U bet, 68.7U Pay Out
SD -2.5
ATL +2.5
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
NYG -2

So the 10 bets as 3 game parlays breakdown as such: (sorry about formatting/long message)

Bet #1
SD -2.5
ATL +2.5
CHI -7.5
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #2
SD -2.5
ATL +2.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #3
SD -2.5
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #4
SD -2.5
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #5
SD -2.5
CHI -7.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #6
SD -2.5
KC -1.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #7
ATL +2.5
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
Payout: 6.96U

Bet #8
ATL +2.5
CHI -7.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.96U

Bet #9
ATL +2.5
KC -1.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.96U

Bet #10
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.96U

[rubecube]

The spread in the GB/JAX game is 16. That's a college spread for Christ's sake!

[return to the red]

Originally Posted by HOOT

Well since RTTR peaked my interest in Round Robin bets for NFL I'm gonna make one for this coming week. Not gonna lie I'm not very confident in my picks but I didn't want to double down on games I already picked this week. We will see I guess...

5 Game Round Robin, 3x Combo, 10U bet, 68.7U Pay Out
SD -2.5
ATL +2.5
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
NYG -2

So the 10 bets as 3 game parlays breakdown as such: (sorry about formatting/long message)

Bet #1
SD -2.5
ATL +2.5
CHI -7.5
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #2
SD -2.5
ATL +2.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #3
SD -2.5
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #4
SD -2.5
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #5
SD -2.5
CHI -7.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #6
SD -2.5
KC -1.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.81U

Bet #7
ATL +2.5
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
Payout: 6.96U

Bet #8
ATL +2.5
CHI -7.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.96U

Bet #9
ATL +2.5
KC -1.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.96U

Bet #10
CHI -7.5
KC -1.5
NYG -2
Payout: 6.96U

I always wondered how this worked, Good luck! Still having problems with Sports Interaction and its really ticking me off as I think there is some decent opportunities out there.

[TitovFTW]

Teasing the Vikings tonight and the under. 6 point tease to make the spread an even 0 and Under 49. These Thursday night games have been nothing short of sloppy.

[North East Goon]

Why is Atlanta road dogs against Philly?

[rubecube]

Originally Posted by North East Goon

Why is Atlanta road dogs against Philly?

Eagles are 13-0 after the bye with Andy Reid. To be honest, I think they match up well against Atlanta.

[return to the red]

Originally Posted by rubecube

Eagles are 13-0 after the bye with Andy Reid. To be honest, I think they match up well against Atlanta.

Not to mention they haven't really played any tough games minus the Broncos in week 2 but even that was when Manning was still trying to find his grove.

I wouldn't put much faith in Ryan playing outside in the Elements either, yes they beat Washington at home but I honestly believe had RG3 stayed in that game it would have been a Redskins win.

[rubecube]

Originally Posted by return to the red

Not to mention they haven't really played any tough games minus the Broncos in week 2 but even that was when Manning was still trying to find his grove.

I wouldn't put much faith in Ryan playing outside in the Elements either, yes they beat Washington at home but I honestly believe had RG3 stayed in that game it would have been a Redskins win.

Their defense is awful against the run, and the Eagles have one of the best RBs and running QBs in the league. Meanwhile, their offense relies on the passing attack, and the Eagles' defense is very good against the pass (meltdown against Detroit notwithstanding).

[troutman]

I heard so many people won the Sports Select pool last week, that the payout was only around $150.00?

[return to the red]

Originally Posted by troutman

I heard so many people won the Sports Select pool last week, that the payout was only around $150.00?

Lets not bring this up again

see post #209

[rubecube]

So I took the Eagles ML, and now I see the spread is PHI -3. I feel like I should be middling this.

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by return to the red

Lets not bring this up again

see post #209

too bad last nights Bucs-Vikings game wasn't on the game list

that would have knocked about 90% of the people out!