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Old 12-14-2009, 06:31 PM   #101
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I'd be happy with the deal assuming the Jays are loading up with blue chip prospects. At first I was thinking WTF are the Jays taking on the modest salary of Halladay? But if AA believes that that's the price to get some solid prospects (hopefully a load of pitching prospects), it looks like it could work really well. Sad to see Roy go, but if he can garner some fo those elite prospects, he'll be the gift that keeps on giving.
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Old 12-14-2009, 07:36 PM   #102
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SNet just had Rosenthal on, and they showed the Aumont/Taylor combo OR another combo, but Rosenthal said he's absolutely certain there's more to the deal than just 2 guys. I'd tend to agree. There's no point of the Jays only getting those two when they're taking on that much salary.
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Old 12-14-2009, 08:02 PM   #103
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I hope Happ is coming in this deal.
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Old 12-14-2009, 08:22 PM   #104
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9:15pm: After going through several incarnations over the last 48 hours, the latest version of the deal has outfielder Michael Taylor, catching prospect Travis D'Arnaud, and a pitcher - either J.A. Happ or Kyle Drabek - going to Toronto, writes Stark in his latest update.

Under this scenario, the Phillies would get to hang on to Domonic Brown and would recieve Phillippe Aumont.
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Old 12-14-2009, 08:48 PM   #105
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I keep reading that it is Drabek and not Happ. I don't know if it is enough for Doc.
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Old 12-14-2009, 09:34 PM   #106
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How are the Phillies ending up with a stellar prospect like that?
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Old 12-14-2009, 09:38 PM   #107
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I keep reading that it is Drabek and not Happ. I don't know if it is enough for Doc.
Isn't Drabek supposed to be the better of the two?

According to ESPN, the rumored return is Drabek, Michael Taylor (OF who's hit for a .950ish OPS in A and AA the past 2 seasons), and Travis d'Arnaud (good defensive catcher who's hit well in A-ball).
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Old 12-14-2009, 09:40 PM   #108
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How are the Phillies ending up with a stellar prospect like that?
That's what I don't get.

They get an A+ prospect and the better pitcher in the deal. Plus the rumors are that some of Halladay's salary is going to be paid for the Jays this season.
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Old 12-14-2009, 09:43 PM   #109
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Isn't Drabek supposed to be the better of the two?

According to ESPN, the rumored return is Drabek, Michael Taylor (OF who's hit for a .950ish OPS in A and AA the past 2 seasons), and Travis d'Arnaud (good defensive catcher who's hit well in A-ball).
I believe he is suppose to be better, I just thought they would get more. They are giving up the best pitcher in the game. Here is what Bob Elliot tweeted about a half hour ago:

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Once Halladay ext. complete Jays get RHP Kyle Drabek, OF Michael Taylor, C Travis D’Arnaud, Phils get Halladay, Aumont, $6 M, M's: Lee and ?
So it appears that maybe the M's are also getting another player in the deal.
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Old 12-14-2009, 09:55 PM   #110
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So it appears that maybe the M's are also getting another player in the deal.
If they do, it'll be a Philly.

It's not really a 3-way trade - it's just that the M's/Philly trade is dependent on the Halladay deal not falling through.
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Old 12-14-2009, 10:41 PM   #111
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Here is the breakdown from Ken Rosenthal, this was from 10:30 Calgary time.

Blue Jays
Kyle Drabek
Michael Taylor
Travis d'Arnaud

Phillies
Roy Halladay
Phillippe Aumong
Travis Gillies
Unnamed Player

Mariners
Cliff Lee

Rosenthal also claims that the Phillies will get $6 million from the Jays
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Old 12-14-2009, 10:43 PM   #112
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Drabek, Taylor & D'arnaud would be a good return all things considered. Happ instead of Drabek would be a clusterF of a trade, but all reports seem to be pointing to Drabek who has big time potential. You're never going to get equal value for the best pitcher in baseball but considering JP left Anthopoulos backed into a bit of a corner I think this would be good value.
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Old 12-14-2009, 10:45 PM   #113
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I think the Phillies are winning this trade big time. Not only are they getting Doc but possibly 2 or 3 good prospects.
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Old 12-14-2009, 10:57 PM   #114
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maybe they can add overpaid Vernon Wells on that deal, then it is going to be sweet. Sucks to lose Halladay but we all know he wants out because he knows Blue Jays is going nowhere.
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Old 12-14-2009, 11:02 PM   #115
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maybe they can add overpaid Vernon Wells on that deal, then it is going to be sweet. .
Never happen.... Wells is here until he retires....


As for the Deal if the below speculated deal is accurate, I personally believe the Jays have done a great job. Doc would have left either way.

As for the Phillies, they lose a top end pitcher but obtain good prospects. Plus they land the best pitcher in the game

Blue Jays
Kyle Drabek
Michael Taylor
Travis d'Arnaud

Phillies
Roy Halladay
Phillippe Aumong
Travis Gillies
Unnamed Player

Mariners
Cliff Lee
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Old 12-14-2009, 11:07 PM   #116
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Phillies also get the salary difference between Halladay and Lee as well. Essentially Philly trade Drabek, Taylor, d'Arnaud, Cliff Lee signed for one season for Roy Halladay signed for 3 more years past this coming season, Phillippe Aumont, Tyson Gillies and an unnamed player. Looks like a good move for the Phillies.

I guess we'll have to see how the three prospects work out for Toronto. Essentially they paid 6 million to get 2 more established prospects and a 3rd guy over the two picks they would have received in compensation for Halladay.

Mariners gamble that Cliff Lee will be a good guy to go with Hernandez in their rotation as they try to take down the Angels.
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Old 12-14-2009, 11:21 PM   #117
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Also, thank god AA didn't send Halladay to Boston or NY. That would have been gut wrenching.
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Old 12-15-2009, 03:00 AM   #118
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One comment from a Tsn board that stuck out was that this trade was "good karma" for the jays organization considering the complex dynamics at work here.

I agree, this trade has taken a lot of effort on all three sides, save for the M's I suppose, so applaud AA, Amaro and JZ for getting something to really satisfy each of their MO's. The Blue Jays are getting a lot of publicity from this and this can only mean good things. If they get assets to help bolster a team looking to contend in the future with a budget way larger than kC, Flor, Tbay then it can only mean good things if all the appropriate steps are taken. You can argue futility of management can see even the best prospect squandered (Browns/Raiders/Clippers) and I agree with a good management structure will yield better pros along with the luck of injury/life factor. So, good management matters and AA is under the spot light, but I think why not Alex, good luck. Do what JP couldn't. Get a Colon or a Bedard haul, anything else will see we become a farm team.

The jays seem to be paying a steep price for 3 highly regarded minorleaguers. If this is true then I don't see how the state of the game is favouring teams at all whom are unwilling to spend large amounts of money to compete in an annual pissing contest.
Now I'm happy for Roy now that he'll have an easier time making the Post Season, the phillies org for hiring gillis whom in turn groomed his successor in Amaro, but not for the teams who become Major League farm teams: Pitt, KC, Flor, TB et al. The et al does include the BlueJays seemingly, but I have hope yet.

I feel the jays could become a version like the Rays but with a WS win, kinda like what Baltimore is becoming because they can spend more, but right now it isn't enough to compete. Sure they haven't been competitive since the days with good ol' Cal, but they are becoming a solid team that has given the Jays fits over the years much like the rays did. Think of it, have the rays or the O's ever been a cakewalk for the jays teams over the years? Baltimore has a lot of good pieces looking to grow together that could cause more problems for the AL east. How about 5 80 + win teams in 4 years? Jays can do it if they correct their mistakes.

If AA properly addresses the winning formulas of our divisions and cleans up the mess JP made, even though he tried his best but I believe he wasn't the right GM for that team. They needed a guy who could get the core of this team some real speed, not over the hill sluggers heartless floaters and injury wildcards. Sure he says his hands were tied but he had his chance with a pretty decent budget, but I digress. The Rays had success because of youth, speed and a great farm system that is paying dividends even as we muse over the changes to come. Get youth, skill and speed for Roy. If the bluejays have to be irrelevant for 5 years I can accept it as long as the scouting, as AA has already addressed(fingers crossed) yields fruit to make us contenders.

This mode of success is exactly what seems to the blueprint for success. Youth, skill and speed kill. In sports, with the institutions as fiscally competitive as they are (jerry buss and GStein withstanding I'm not not looking to you), these prospects are timed and prodded and poked so many times that livestock now don't feel as bad. They know their numbers to a level that is not science but is a refined a form a fortune telling as I've seen. The best physical/skill specimens are at the top of drafts, pitt knows this, Florida marlins know this but it's those teams that are forced to remain competitive year after year may not suffer the lows of these other catfish teams but may not experience the highs of the bottom feeder friendly types. I know some will say pittsburgh never tanked to get mario or syd/malkin(almost ov)/fleury/stall but I will.

The BlueJays must go this route but they have an advantage hockey, basketball and football don't, salary caps. They can spend a hundred million if the corporate hierarchs believe it's a good investment. They are not the yankee's, sox or phillies even, so we have to be smart. But I can't understand why prospects are so valued that we may only get three of the following.

So here is some links to the prospects' stats coming our way:
Phills-


Drabek
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/m...pbp&pid=475138

had tommy john, but apparently has come back strong with a wicked breaking ball and good four seam velocity. Doug's son, so the genes.

Taylor
http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/m...pbp&pid=446345

His stats look good, and the reports of him striking out too much don't seem that well founded when compared to his walk numbers. Plus, he is a beast with cannon, who would replace Rios nicely for wayyyy cheaper.

Domonic Brown


http://www.baseballamerica.com/stati...s/?pl_id=29930


This kid is drawing light Strawberry comparisons. He has emerging power and looks like a perennial all star. I see why the phills are reluctant to trade him.


D'Arnaud


http://www.thebaseballcube.com/playe...-dArnaud.shtml


Hear that he is a defensive whiz with a plus, plus arm. Hear that about jeroloman too. His bat is nothing special so far, but he could be a consistent producer.



Mariners



Ackley


http://www.withthefirstpick.net/dustin-ackley


Don't think he's included but anything could happen.


Aumont



http://seattle.mariners.mlb.com/news...=.jsp&c_id=mlb


the quebecer may be headed to philidelphia, but he could wind up with us somehow.


Truinfel


http://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.htm?id=10003


I am suspicious of his injury in AA and his being asked to play 2nd and 3rd but he could be a great player one day.


Saunders


http://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.htm?id=8985


Canuck who rose through their system quickly. Nice frame with good projections, who made his debut vs us last year.


Gillies


http://www.thebaseballcube.com/playe...-Gillies.shtml


This kid is a Canadian who had great stats in the mariners High A affiliate. He would be going to the phillies but I think we should get him.


This trade is shaping up to be one for the ages. I hope AA can move Overbay to seattle in the deal somehow and get Gillies or aumont perhaps. Don't get nationalistic, this is a business so lets start putting a product on the field that the fan base will be proud of.


Go jays...
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Old 12-15-2009, 03:17 AM   #119
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Never happen.... Wells is here until he retires....


As for the Deal if the below speculated deal is accurate, I personally believe the Jays have done a great job. Doc would have left either way.

As for the Phillies, they lose a top end pitcher but obtain good prospects. Plus they land the best pitcher in the game

Blue Jays
Kyle Drabek
Michael Taylor
Travis d'Arnaud

Phillies
Roy Halladay
Phillippe Aumong
Travis Gillies
Unnamed Player

Mariners
Cliff Lee
I don't understand how the phillies make out like that. It just doesn't make sense that we only get 3 prospects and the phillies in turn recoup two picks to essentially pay 5 prospects for Roy Halladay. I think the jays should add another player to get the majority of the prospects. To me, the Mariners make out like bandits only giving up two or 3 prospects for the services of Cliff Lee. Baseball is definitely geared for the have's. Shame, that fan bases of the have nots will have to suffer through little post season appearances in comparison to the have's of the world.

I suppose a lot of the exchange has to do with signability, but if the jays cover 6 million like rumored, then how is working out that we may only get 3 dudes for the best pitcher in the game? These kids are unproven 'prospects' and Roy is a AL east battle tested warrior who might have a chance at 300 wins with the phillies. What have these kids done?
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Old 12-15-2009, 05:54 AM   #120
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I don't understand how the phillies make out like that. It just doesn't make sense that we only get 3 prospects and the phillies in turn recoup two picks to essentially pay 5 prospects for Roy Halladay. I think the jays should add another player to get the majority of the prospects. To me, the Mariners make out like bandits only giving up two or 3 prospects for the services of Cliff Lee. Baseball is definitely geared for the have's. Shame, that fan bases of the have nots will have to suffer through little post season appearances in comparison to the have's of the world.

I suppose a lot of the exchange has to do with signability, but if the jays cover 6 million like rumored, then how is working out that we may only get 3 dudes for the best pitcher in the game? These kids are unproven 'prospects' and Roy is a AL east battle tested warrior who might have a chance at 300 wins with the phillies. What have these kids done?
I don't get it the proposed deal either. Baseball scouting in my mind is very hard to do, so take what I'm about to say with a grain of salt. Forgot to mention last night that Rosenthal said at this stage of his career, Aumont is probably going to be a closer and not a starter as he was drafted to be one. I can't believe how big the guy is compared to a few years back...what a beast. Anyhow, by many accounts Drabek is the best prospect in all this, so rather than the Jays getting back second tier prospects from Philly, they flip Aumont to Philly for their #1 guy, Drabek. Makes sense from that perspective. What blows my mind, is how another prospect like Gilles ends up in Philly. That's ridiculous. Rumors were that Philly was reluctant to give up Drabek (simply a bargaining tactic IMO by leaking they were unwilling to do so). In my mind though, the Phillies probably had the least bargaining power in this whole thing as Lee is sure to walk. How they end up with that much is mindblowing and is really what's bothersome in this deal. Gilles or Aumont should be a Jay.
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