[GT] Canada Election 2025

[WCW Nitro]

Originally Posted by Mathgod

Wish I wasn't saying this but... Liberal lead shrinking fast. GTA showing big Con overperformance...

Is there a chance Liberals can lose?

[FlamesAddiction]

Yeah what the hell, the Conservatives making a comeback. This could be a lot closer than it looked at first.

[BigThief]

Originally Posted by Cecil Terwilliger

Lindsay Luhnau ahead by a few hundred in Calgary centre.

She's a bit of a nutjob to be honest.

[Matty81]

Originally Posted by The Big Chill

How are they still so confident when it’s down to 6 seat lead?

I'm guessing it's because the votes seem to be spiking Liberal in the later polling stations as the advance votes come in, seemed to happen in the Maritimes? But just guessing

[Mathgod]

Originally Posted by WCW Nitro

Is there a chance Liberals can lose?

Doubtful, but the possibility can't be dismissed at this point...

[rubecube]

Originally Posted by The Big Chill

How are they still so confident when it’s down to 6 seat lead?

There are still minimum 20M votes to be counted, and mostly from big urban areas, which generally vote Liberal/NDP.

[Whynotnow]

Not a fan of how much power the NDP and bq may have in this next parliament. Would’ve preferred Carney to not have to cater to them to govern.

[Firebot]

Having the NDP anywhere close to holding the balance of power while having only 5% of the popular vote would be the absolute worse case scenario. There is a reason why their voter base has completely collapsed and why Canadians has rejected them, as Liberals saw prior to dumping Trudeau. A Liberal majority would be far preferred just to get stability but that is not happening at this point.

I feel that Carney has more integrity and will not accept any type of coalition with a party like the NDP who he has criticized and I don't see it with the Bloc who thinks Canada is not a serious country. Bloc sure as heck also aren't going to join up with Poilievre and any type of dream of a west-east pipeline is not happening.

I don't think a coalition of any sort is happening this time around, but it will be anything but stable.

Having both the Liberals and CPC above 40% potentially is kinda wild. This is by far the craziest election I have ever seen.

[#-3]

Originally Posted by WCW Nitro

Is there a chance Liberals can lose?

Could the CPC form government 20 seats shy?

I think their best case scenario is beating the liberals by 1-2 seats at this point then the other parties propping the Liberals up, and people who don't understand Canada crying about how unfair it is that they "won" but still don't get the prize.

[chemgear]

Originally Posted by KootenayFlamesFan

I would say quite the upgrade.

We all hope so!

[Mathgod]

Almost tied now...

[Swift]

Originally Posted by GGG

I wonder how nervous the decision desks are right now.

I have no idea why they try to out do each other trying to be first with the news. Just let things play out without making calls early.

[You Need a Thneed]

theres some ridings in BC showing conservative right niw that absolutely wont be.

[Whynotnow]

Originally Posted by #-3

Could the CPC form government 20 seats shy?

I think their best case scenario is beating the liberals by 1-2 seats at this point then the other parties propping the Liberals up, and people who don't understand Canada crying about how unfair it is that they "won" but still don't get the prize.

The liberals will be offered the first chance to form the government.

[Johnny Makarov]

154 to 152! lol. Leafs suck!

still waiting for early voting numbers.

[Manhattanboy]

Originally Posted by Firebot

Having the NDP anywhere close to holding the balance of power while having only 5% of the popular vote would be the absolute worse case scenario. There is a reason why their voter base has completely collapsed and why Canadians has rejected them, as Liberals saw prior to dumping Trudeau. A Liberal majority would be far preferred just to get stability but that is not happening at this point.

I feel that Carney has more integrity and will not accept any type of coalition with a party like the NDP who he has criticized and I don't see it with the Bloc who thinks Canada is not a serious country. Bloc sure as heck aren't going to join up with Poilievre.

I don't think a coalition of any sort is happening this time around, but it will be anything but stable.

Having both the Liberals and CPC above 40% potentially is kinda wild. This is by far the craziest election I have ever seen.

I liked your summary FB in the other thread. Good analysis.

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by keenan87

Lets say the Liberals get 170 seats.

Can they convince 2 NDP members to cross the stage? Especially if they are not an official party.

Like Singh?

[DoubleK]

Have the major networks ever walked back a projection?

[Ferarri]

Are they going to have to walk back their prediction?

[Manhattanboy]

Could the GTA and BC decide this?