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Old 09-24-2025, 06:14 PM   #9322
blankall
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Five-hole View Post
The Flames' record in the last 10 games was extremely good. Our playoff odds come game 70 were hovering in the 20-30% category if I remember correctly. It was incredibly statistically unlikely that we would make the playoffs, and lo and behold, we didn't, and that's because we were far enough behind by that point that we needed a miracle run. We got a miracle run and still didn't make it. That's what I'm talking about.
20-30%, but there were also 4 teams all competing for that last spot. It wasn't statistically unlikely. The Flames were just in tight race with other teams. Big difference between that and being out of it.

The Flames won their last 4 games, but went 3-3-2 in the 8 games before that.

It was far more statistically unlikely with those last 4 games, that the Flames didn't make it, as they had to win out and the other teams lose. The Blues had won 12 in a row prior to that last 4 games.

So I guess you could make an argument that after the Blues had won 12 in a row, and only 4 games were left, the season was over, but it actually wasn't, as the Flames won all 4 games and missed by a tie breaker.
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