Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolven
The Trade Deadline is behind us and here is my update with 2/20 of the remaining games completed.
Section 1: Schedule update
Marching down the stretch: 18 games remaining - Expected Wins: Kraken (H), UHC (A), Ducks (H), Sharks (A), Ducks (A), Sharks (H),
- Likely Wins: Islanders (A), Wild (H), Kings (A),
- Likely Losses: Rangers (A),
- Expected Losses: Avalanche (H), Maple Leafs (A), Devils (A), Stars (H), Oilers (A), Avalanche (A), Golden Knights (H), Golden Knights (H),
Results for the final 20 games of the season - Confirmed Wins: Canadiens (H),
- Confirmed OTL: Canucks (H)*,
- Confirmed Losses:
*Defied expectation
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In our second road trip of the month, halfway through a Toronto to NY back-to-back, here is my update with 4/20 of the last games completed.
Section 1: Schedule update
Marching down the stretch: 16 games remaining
- Expected Wins: Kraken (H), Ducks (H), Sharks (A), Ducks (A), Sharks (H),
- Likely Wins: Islanders (A), UHC (A),
- Likely Losses: Rangers (A), Wild (H), Golden Knights (H), Kings (A),
- Expected Losses: Devils (A), Stars (H), Oilers (A), Avalanche (A), Golden Knights (H),
Results for the final 20 games of the season
- Confirmed Wins: Canadiens (H),
- Confirmed OTL: Canucks (H)*,
- Confirmed Losses: Avalanche (H), Maple Leafs (A),
*Defied expectation
The last 2 games went as expected with losses to playoff teams. I adjusted my expectation list a bit based on lowered expectations due to Backlund’s injury. UHC moved from expected win to likely win. The team needs to win this game, same as how they needed to win the Canucks game. The Wild, second VGK, and Kings games move to likely losses but I would hope they can be wins. Hopefully Zary returns and knocks our socks off and forces me to have more optimistic expectations.
Section 2: Playoff standings update
The team is 2 points out of WC2. Things are not looking good for the playoffs.
- Canucks are in WC2, 2 points up on the Flames and Flames have a game in hand
- Blues went from 2 points back to 2 points up and Flames have 2 games in hand
- UHC are tied with the Flames and Flames have a game in hand
Section 3: Tankathon update- The Flames have the 22nd hardest remaining schedule (L10 = 3-4-3)
- Canucks have the 3rd hardest remaining schedule (L10 = 5-5-0)
- Blues are 32nd hardest... STILL the easiest remaining schedule as of now!!!! (L10 = 7-2-1)
- UHC are 15th hardest (L10 = 6-2-2)
- Bruins are 27th hardest (L10 = 3-6-1)
Based on the standings, the Canucks are still a threat as they are in WC2 but they do have a very hard schedule ahead of them. The Blues and UHC are both attacking WC2 with their winning records in their last 10 and easy schedules in front of them.
Section 4: "Top10 draft" update- Flames have dropped to 18th overall, tied with Canadiens and UHC. (3 spot drop from last update)
- 1 point back is the CBJ and Red Wings
- 2 points back is the Bruins
- 3 points back is the Islanders (last update they were 6 points back)
2 points separate the Flames from dropping 5 spots in the standings to 23 OA. For team tank, the hardest part will be to race the Bruins for that 10th draft pick. After adding the Bruins to the Tankathon section we see that they have the 27th hardest (6th easiest) schedule remaining. Hopefully their easy schedule will push them up the standings if the Flames start free-falling.
Section 5: Other 1st round pick update
Devils are 13OA in the standings (holding position) – 25th hardest schedule remaining
Panthers are 7OA in the standings (2 spot drop) – 12th hardest schedule remaining