Quote:
Originally Posted by Roof-Daddy
They are only 6 points from falling into a top 10 pick.
A bad couple weeks could be all it would take.
I don't see it happening though, especially if Sharangovich and/or Kuzmenko start scoring.
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This is mathematically incorrect.
It takes sustained sucking to drop that far.
The bottom 10 teams are trending to 82 points or less, last year it was 81.
For the Flames to finish with 82 points or less, they need a maximum 33 points in the remaining 40 games, or a 0.4125 win %.
Only Chicago, SJ and Nashville have played that poorly this season.
So the Flames would have to play as bad as those teams have to date for the rest of our season.
You're over simplifying it to just look at points above the bottom 10 and ignore teams having to jump over each other, play each other (someone must lose points), these teams will lose points anyway etc.
The Flames could lose their next 4 straight and only drop 3 spots in point %.
They need a serious downturn to get into the bottom 10 now.