Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch
While its a positve that Assad is gone, I don't know if that positive is going to last long. the new leadership has a long way to go to gain anykind of trust. There are too many ISIS and Al Queda members involved here.
I doubt we see a legitimate election, I think it will be more like Afghanistan after the Russian's were defeated and the crazies took over.
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We're a long way from even the possibility of a general election in Syria. Israel, Turkey and USA are all committing active airstrike campaigns and Turkey controls parts of Syria in the north while Israel is making raids in the south... there are also still at least three separate armed alliances controlling different parts of the country, Russians are still in the country, and we don't even really know what will happen with pro-Assad forces as Assad is still alive.
Turkish backed forces are in active combat against SDF ("the Kurds", although SDF is actually also an alliance) over the city of Manjib in the north.
Not to forget that the HTS itself is not actually one united force, but rather an alliance of several smaller ones, and right now there's almost guaranteed to be an internal power struggle of sort, as everyone is looking to set themselves up for the future.
There's even areas of Syria that aren't officially in anyone's control.
The civil war isn't over, it's just in a new stage.