Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
OK I'm starting to side with the people who say polling is worthless... most of these are even from the same day.
Last 2 polls from Wisconsin? Trump +2, Harris +6.
North Carolina? Trump +4, Even, Harris +2.
Michigan? Harris +1, Harris +8.
PA? Even, Harris +5.
WHAT AM I TO BELIEVE
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That polling has a +/- 3% statistical bias and probable a 2-3% systemic sample methodology bias leading to +/- 5% bias on any single poll.
Even just looking at statistical bias of +/- 3 that allows for a six point swing which all but the Wisconsin poll falls into. And even then the +/- 3 is 19/20 times so having the odd poll +/-4.5 is a reasonable outcome.
In a close race polling can only tell you it’s a close race