Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
Dems have had a nice 6 weeks, especially when you consider they were virtually dead after Trump got shot at. They've probably closed the gap enough that I would give Trump a 55-45 advantage at this point. And I know people are gonna say how can you think that, but I'm sorry until Americans are not, relatively speaking, the dumbest people on earth, Trump should be considered the favorite. Assuming otherwise allows for even that 0.5% complacency that will allow him to win. Americans do not deserve the benefit of the doubt, a normal country would have Trump not even nominated, then down 20 if he were somehow nominated, instead of the coinflip this currently is.
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I do worry that the Dems might peak too soon. Politics in general, but particularly in America, seems to swing back and forth very quickly. People have short attention spans and many casual people tend to go with the flavour of the week. The good news is that early voting is starting soon and if the Dems and keep the momentum going, it should help them with the early votes.
The funny thing is if Trump does get some momentum back closer to the actual election date and the early votes come in and spoil it for him, you just know that all hell will break loose again.