Quote:
Originally Posted by Infinit47
Can you just create a stat called "special ultra high danger chance, brought to you by DeluxeMoustache" already?
Obviously the people who built these models based on hundreds of thousands of shots are stupid and can't see what is so plainly obvious to you.
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1. No, I can’t.
I have an idea what would be needed for a meaningful stat, but the information required is not being recorded and available publicly as far as I am aware
2. On the contrary. I don’t think they are stupid in any way
They are doing a good job given the data they have to work with, trying to extend it
And in fact, they recognize that there is significant challenge and question if it is actually possible to decouple goaltender performance from team performance
The thing is, many people understand the concept at which xG stats are trying to arrive, but most of them don’t actually understand how dangers are assigned, and what probabilities are assigned to various danger levels
It really is a good attempt but really ends up being a marginal improvement on sv%
Like I said, but not in a James Earl Jones voice, maybe we will take some time to dig in to it. Truly from a point of being interested, and thinking others may as well, but I fear some people are just going to be dicks about it