Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay Random
People keep saying this, but nobody has explained what relevance it has. The Flames made an 8-year offer that nobody else could make, and Gaudreau turned it down because he doesn't want to play here. It's history now. Neither Philly nor Jersey nor any Eastern team has any need to compete with the terms Calgary was willing to give. All that matters is how their offers compete against each other, and that would still be true if the Flames had made no offer at all.
Will somebody please tell me what I'm missing here?
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In any good contract negotiation you need someone to be willing to drive your price point. Johnnys is 80+ million which Calgary did with 8x10. Johns representative lit the smoke signal with leaks of Calgary going above 80 Million, Previously offer before the season was the Kucherov 76. Multiple Eastern teams signal back that they can drive for roughly the same price tag of 80+ Million. Once you have multiple signals you no longer need to consider Calgary. These eastern teams will bid even some teams you won’t think about.
You can do the math but I think every team out east knows 7x12 is probably unrealistic in the cap era forecasting which equals Calgary’s offer of 84 Million. However if a team is close and wants to close a deal they may go there.
Johnny clearly valued the extra 4-5 Million from Calgary less than the value of being at home in the area. So you can remove 7x12 from the equation at the time of him informing Calgary and it’s safe to assume he may shave off ~250K to ~750K from 12 Million AAV for the team he wants. Tomorrow every team in the area that wants johns service know the price is already predetermined and it’s just clauses/structure but expect buyout proof and maybe escrow protection on that front. Besides that he’s really just going to formally commit to a new team.
I will be absolutely shocked if Johnny signs for anything less than 80+ million tomorrow. If that happens, Calgary had zero chance even at a silly number like 11-12x8