Quote:
Originally Posted by powderjunkie
Am I the only one who thinks a GM would be crazy to trade 2OA for 1-8 years of UFA value? Even if the value isn't far off, I think there is way too much risk that it blows up in the GMs face and they become the guy who traded Pronger/Hedman/Doughty/Malkin/Barkov level talent for a player who doesn't age well.
For reference, here are the 2OA picks since 1990 (with enough time to make a decent judgment) - wingers are bolded:
It's been really rare to bust on 2OA's, and even then they've been salvaged into decent assets.
3 ELC years + 4 RFA years + ?? UFA years
vs.
?? UFA years of Tkachuk... |
The number of forwards who ever had a season with more points than what Tkachuk has this year on that list - 2 (Heatley and Malkin)
Total number of seasons with more points than what Tkachuk has last year - 4 (3 for Malkin, 1 for Heatley).
Total number of players who had a season with the same number of points - 1 (Daniel Sedin, he got 104 points in his best season)
Tkachuk has already, at the age of 24, has a better individual statistical season than 86% of the forwards on that list. He has had the same or better than 90% of the forwards on that list. Tkachuk is worth a lot more than a 2nd overall pick.