Quote:
Originally Posted by transplant99
Rule of thumb is that the home team lays 3 points and go from there. It opened at +3 for AZ and has stayed there.
Essentially this game is a pick em in the eyes of the oddsmakers.
The interesting line on this game is the O/U imo.
It started at 53.5 and has gone to 49.5....a huge swing.
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I've been listening to a lot of NFL Gambling based pod casts and the consensus seems to be that there almost is not Home Field anymore, and if there is, it's 1.5 points at most. Road Dogs have been pretty strong so far this year.
I haven't checked the weather forecast for that game so I imagine that could be a factor. Another interesting thing I heard was that teams who scored 36 points and lost the previous week have a 62.5 cover percentage the following week. So the Browns fall in that category. Teams who won scoring 17 or less points the previous week go over the total 57% of the time the next week.