Yeah, I'm on the PA website and I'm way less confident. There are about 760,000 mail ballots outstanding. However, only 165,000 of those are in Philadelphia or Allegheny.
There are 77,000 in York county (Trump +25 on Election Day), 10,000 in Crawford (Trump +59), 12,000 in Mercer (Trump +42), 4000+ in Greene (Trump +65), 4500 in Tioga (Trump +66), 5000+ in Armstrong (Trump +64), and 5000 in Carbon (Trump +46), among other places.
So assuming that the remaining mail-in ballots to be counted will be heavily (60+%) Biden so as to erase the current lead seems... unlikely.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
|