Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
How many of those leads are large enough though? With Gerrymandering, and the urban vs rural vote, the Dems need a fairly sizable lead to win most states, no?
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Just quickly scanning Real Clear Politics polls of the key 2016 states, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
RCP polling averages:
Pennsylvania: 2016: Clinton +2.1 --- 2020: Biden +6.5
Wisconsin: 2016: Clinton +6.5 --- Biden +5.6
Michigan: 2016: Clinton +3.6 --- Biden + 5.8
I am by no means a polling expert but Biden is clearly showing stronger leads in Pennsylvania and Michigan than Hillary had. Wisconsin shows different. So definitely seems like the leads that Biden have could potentially disappear when the election actually happens.