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Originally Posted by Wormius
Yeah, a lot of people seem to forget that Quebec had leverage. It has access to Hudson's Bay and the St. Lawrence.
Alberta can maybe roll barrels of oil down the Bow River or N. Saskatchewan and hope for the best.
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Separation would mean relying on the U.S. for pipelines which is a pretty iffy proposition. There’s as much opposition to pipelines in non-oil-producing states as there is in Canada. The big benefit would be keeping the transfer payments I guess.
Then there’s also the issue of oil’s future in general. I think most people agree there should be at least another 2-3 good decades, then a tapering off. After that who knows. Separation may be somewhat beneficial in the short-to-medium term. I don’t know about the long term though. It’s a pretty big risk.