Making the playoffs isn’t luck. Winning the Cup is luck, but teams can not “luck their way into the playoffs” year after year.
Solid, well-managed organizations make the playoffs consistently year over year. Flakey ones make and miss depending and rely more on outside factors than the first group does. Perpetually stupid organizations consistently miss the playoffs regardless of external factors.
All I’m talking about is taking the same metrics GMs use to place value in players, but only apply those metrics to their playoff performances.
Agent: “Player A is worth $5m cause he puts up 25 goals a season.”
GM: “Ok, but he’s only scored once in 25 playoff games”
Agent: “Well no one’s perfect.”
GM: “Organizational success is based on playoff performance. I’m not giving someone $5m to disappear on me when I need him most.”
Agent: “Whoops. I just realized I’ve got the wrong number. I thought I was talking to Edmonton.”
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