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Old 04-20-2018, 01:11 PM   #275
Nelson
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Join Date: Jul 2016
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
The correlation is not that high. There are lots of outliers. And there is a tremendous amount of noise in the data.

But even more importantly, if success at the NHL level were as simple and straight-forward as getting more chances, we could all be NHL coaches.
https://www.pensionplanpuppets.com/2...-blocked-shots

5 v 5 CF% has a % correlation of 37.1. 5 v 5 FF% has a % correlation of 33.0. 5 v 5 SF% has a % correlation of 32.6%. These metrics are actually pretty important when you consider that PP% has a % correlation of 7.3% and PK% has a % correlation of 3.9%.

I'm not saying any of the stats tells the whole story. But, if you look at all of them in context and over time, they can be helpful.

I don't think they should be written off.

Rob Vollman says you can explain about 35% of success through the analytics we currently have. There is a lot of room to improve (just look at baseball), but that's a pretty sizeable contribution.
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