Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
The correlation is not that high. There are lots of outliers. And there is a tremendous amount of noise in the data.
But even more importantly, if success at the NHL level were as simple and straight-forward as getting more chances, we could all be NHL coaches.
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https://www.pensionplanpuppets.com/2...-blocked-shots
5 v 5 CF% has a % correlation of 37.1. 5 v 5 FF% has a % correlation of 33.0. 5 v 5 SF% has a % correlation of 32.6%. These metrics are actually pretty important when you consider that PP% has a % correlation of 7.3% and PK% has a % correlation of 3.9%.
I'm not saying any of the stats tells the whole story. But, if you look at all of them in context and over time, they can be helpful.
I don't think they should be written off.
Rob Vollman says you can explain about 35% of success through the analytics we currently have. There is a lot of room to improve (just look at baseball), but that's a pretty sizeable contribution.