Quote:
Originally Posted by Oling_Roachinen
Assuming "a top 5 pick" doesn't include top 2 (as those are exponentially more valuable than the 5th pick in nearly all years) here's a quick, extremely rough look at recent top 3-5 picks:
Gudbranson<Hamilton
Johansen<Hamilton
Niederreiter<Hamilton
Huberdeau=Hamilton
Larsson<Hamilton
Strome<Hamilton
Galchenyuk<Hamilton
Reinhart<Hamilton
Reilly=Hamilton
Drouin<Hamilton
Jones>Hamilton
Lindholm<Hamilton
Draisaitl=Hamilton
Bennett<Hamilton
Dal Colle<Hamilon
Strome<Hamilton
Marner=Hamilton
Hanifin<Hamilton
Maybe give some advantage to the likes of Reilly and Hanifin as they are younger, while the jury's still out on the likes of Dylan Strome but for the most part the only player who's clearly better than Hamilton is Jones. More likely to end up with busts like Reinhart or Dal Colle or non-impact players like Bennett or Ryan Strome. A team in that 3-5 spot is likely rebuilding, so may value youth, but it's pretty obvious Hamilton is worth a "top 5 pick."
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How is Jones clearly better than Hamilton? He's not remotely close in regards to scoring and is not a shutdown defensman. Hamilton has started his career with four straight double digit goal seasons at the age of 24 years old. That's pretty rare in this day and age.