Quote:
Originally Posted by bigrangy
I look at it like this
Curtis Lazar = 5% chance at a top 6 impact player, 90% chance at a decent depth guy, ready to play now
2nd round pick = 10% chance at a top 6 impact player, 30% chance at a decent depth guy, ready to play in 1-3 years
The percentages are made up of course but I feel that they would be roughly accurate.
The Flames can use more decent depth guys since the development system seems to not work.
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You might want to reconsider your %
You are saying is 3 2nd round picks every draft develop into an impact top 6 forward and an additional 10 turn into good depth guys. What you are saying is almost half the 2nd round will be NHL regulars at least.
I agree that Lazar's chances of being an impact too 6 forward is 5% or less. I think his ceiling is Glencross offensive numbers who will also wear a letter and be highly regarded by his teammates and coaches. I am hoping for a great 3rd liner or an average 2nd liner.