Quote:
Originally Posted by Robbob
Looking back at the drafts in 2000 it doesn't look like there will that many more in the next little bit. Of course there is Crosby who is sitting at 983 who will probably hit 1000 some time in February. After that the next highest point total is Spezza who is sitting at 837 and Malkin is at 804 (Staal is sitting at 816 but I don't think he makes it). Kane is at 708 and between him and Malkin probably account for the next player after Crosby to hit 1000 (for players drafted since 2000).
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Staal just turned 32. He's 181 points away, and currently playing at a point-per-game pace. Even if he finishes with 70 points this year, he'll only need to score 150 more to break that milestone.
Assuming he comes back down to earth, I think these would be relatively conservative numbers for him:
33 years old - 55
34 - 50
35 - 45
I think he easily breaks it, barring career ending injury. I think Staal's really underrated. For a decade, from his Sophomore year on, he was a near point-per-game player. He had a very bad season his last year in Carolina, but this years 38 in 40 is closer to his career average than his last year, by far.