Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
Well sure... But Trump has a much better chance of winning both Florida and North Carolina than he does of winning either of Michigan or Wisconsin. The only scenario where he wins Michigan is if the polls are way off and he is winning the national popular vote by 4 or 5 points, in which case he likely wins all of those states. Wisconsin and Michigan are demographically pretty similar (I believe Wisconsin is slightly whiter and more rural overall), so if they tip, I think they tip together.
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Michigan in the democratic primary went hard for Bernie and the polling was way off. It's also demographicly positive for trump and fits in with his anti trade rhetoric.
If there is a surprise that's where it comes from.