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Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime
Great article. I guess I'm not the only person in the world who thinks Treliving is being foolish, contrary to popular opinion around these parts.
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Yes.
That is a really silly article. Ken Campbell might live in a fantasy world in which every player and every NHL player contract negotiation is subject to identical forces. We may all agree that players should be payed according to what they are expected to do in the future, and not on the basis of what they have done in the past, but this is just simply not the way the NHL works, and it is not because of some obsolete form of "old-school thinking." It is because of the way the CURRENT CBA is structured, and it is because restricted free agents without League-wide negotiating rights will always be less expensive to sign than unrestricted free agents. It is because RFAs with arbitration rights will always be more expensive than RFAs without. It is because RFAs who are five years removed from unrestricted free agency will always be less expensive than players who are only two, three, or four years removed.
Johnny Gaudreau's production might be worth $8.0 m today, and is probably worth that much in the near future. But because of all these other crucial factors that continue to have a dramatic effect on a player's cost he will never reach that value on his second contract. It just won't happen.