Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime
And even then, if Gaudreau has already scored at an 81 point pace, he would only need to increase that pace by 23% to reach 100.
So really, my expectations are ~0-10+% improvement for Monahan vs ~10-23% improvement for Gaudreau, which I think is reasonable based on how steep Gaudreau's development curve has been to this point in his career.
Obviously I could be very wrong but that's my opinion and the reasoning behind it.
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The reason I think you're wrong is because of what you're really saying.
Could Gaudreau hit 90-100 a couple times? Maybe.
Consistently?
If he did, he would be better than every player but Ovechkin, Malkin, and Crosby. He has shown legitimately nothing to suggest he's at that level. Even if he was as good as Patrick Kane (he hasn't even shown that, yet), that's still only averaging out at 82-85 points per season.
It's just crazy to predict a 6% drop or 9% maximum gain in PPG for Monahan while predicting a staggering 11% minimum gain for Gaudreau, considering he's almost at a PPG right now (and the guys who would be his comparables were all well over a PPG during their first two seasons).
It's more likely Gaudreau is an 84-90 point guy in his prime and Monahan a 65-70 point guy. Plus Monahan plays a more important role and is a 2-way guy, so I'm not seeing much of a difference in overall value between the two.