Quote:
Originally Posted by PepsiFree
I'm going to ask again:
Why do you think Monahan (at 22) will experience zero significant gain in his offensive production for the rest of his career...
and yet...
Gaudreau (at 23) will experience a gain so significant that his product will increase by up to 28% and consistently stay at that rate?
I want to know your reasoning behind that.
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Last I checked, Monahan had 27 goals last year. 30+ goals would imply at least a 10% jump from there, as would production beyond 63 points to 70 points. So you should have said that I see his production improving up to 10% if you say I think Johnny's would go up by up to 28%. And even then, if Gaudreau has already scored at an 81 point pace, he would only need to increase that pace by 23% to reach 100.
So really, my expectations are ~0-10+% improvement for Monahan vs ~10-23% improvement for Gaudreau, which I think is reasonable based on how steep Gaudreau's development curve has been to this point in his career.
Obviously I could be very wrong but that's my opinion and the reasoning behind it.