Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
The most important thing to consider about electoral college votes is which states are absolutes for each candidate and which states are in play. Utah is, and has always been solid Republican territory. A loss to a third party candidate hurts the Republicans as this was six electoral votes they were solidly counting on. To the Dems, a loss of Utah to a third party is irrelevant as it wasn't in their expected path to 270. The Republicans need Utah, and a loss there severely hurts their campaign. They lose Utah and they have to win an extra swing state.
|
Which is why it's pretty much all about Florida. I posted this a bit back, and the Upshot has actually been updated now to include Georgia as a swing state, which is a total nightmare for the GOP that they might have to put significant resources into defending a state like Georgia. But if Hillary can put Florida down, then Trump needs a miracle
