Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch
the last poll I saw was the think HQ poll in April that had the Wildrose at 34%, the NDP at 27% and the PC's at 25%.
I would expect if the PC's put the leadership question to bed, and Kenney won the leadership that you would see the PC's game percentages from the Wildrose, and probably the more tepid NDP supporters.
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Again though, why would tepid NDP supporters move to support Kenney? He doesn't represent their interests at all. The protest vote could definitely move back that way, but I don't see the progressive vote going there. The only way I could see that happening is if a merger fails and the WRP looks like a legitimate threat to win the election a la what happened in 2012. The more likely outcomes if Kenney wins the leadership is that the progressives stay with the NDP or just don't vote at all. Obviously the latter would be just fine with the PCs.