Quote:
Originally Posted by Flames Draft Watcher
...I mean we're probably fine either way. But there is actually a huge difference in expected outcomes between the spots we can finish. We might still get a guy we love at #6 or 7 but boy, getting #4 gives us a lot of options to trade up/down or just take a great guy. And the chance increase of winning the lottery is a bit larger than people realize because the 1% difference between most of the picks affects all 3 lotteries and thus is multiplied to be more like 3% difference.
Anyways I understand both sets of fans. It's fine to want us to beat our biggest rival. But it's also fine to take the long term view and wish for better expected draft lottery outcomes which may affect this franchise for the next decade. I'll be hoping for a loss while cheering the Flames on. Don't hate.
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I don't hate, but I do struggle to understand the urgency of some who seem to see the the draft lottery as an essential outcome for the Flames.
This is a very good post, and I think I agree with most of it. I don't think any of us
doesn't want to draft in the top three. But where I see the substance of the argument is in the importance of doing so. For me, it would be great, but like you said
the Flames are probably fine either way.
So I say enjoy the game, and then enjoy the draft. There really isn't much downside here whether the Flames draft #1 or #8, the future is still very bright for this team. It's a totally different proposition from the perspective of Canucks and Leafs fans, who both quite desperately need this top-three pick.