Quote:
Originally Posted by saXon
Maybe I'm wrong here, but each pick being 9-10% chance doesn't add up to 30% picking top 3 does it? Isn't it still a 9-10% chance with the combination of the 3 chances? As far as I can remember back in math/stats class, chances aren't added to each other for a grand total percentage-wise.
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Nope it does. These are mutually exclusive "or's" so you can add them. We have a ~9% chance of 1st and only first, a ~9% chance of 2nd and only 2nd, and a ~9% chance of 3rd and only 3rd. So we have a ~27% chance of either 1st, 2nd
or 3rd.
Quote:
Originally Posted by OutOfTheCube
Well at least we can all agree that, factually, the Flames will be picking inside of the top ten.
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Well, if it shows 0% it means a non-zero number that rounds to 0%. Only a blank cell means truly zero probability. So Poe's still got that to hold on to (I kid, Poe. I kid
)