Quote:
Originally Posted by saXon
Maybe I'm wrong here, but each pick being 9-10% chance doesn't add up to 30% picking top 3 does it? Isn't it still a 9-10% chance with the combination of the 3 chances? As far as I can remember back in math/stats class, chances aren't added to each other for a grand total percentage-wise.
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No, this is a distribution of odds that must add up to 100%. In this case, yes you do add them up. If you look at post 1626, the red row at the bottom is a current distribution of odds for where the Flames could pick. The first 3 picks are 9, 9 and 9%. So the chances of top 3 is 27%, and the chances of not top 3 is 73%.