Quote:
Originally Posted by New Era
Taking a look at schedules down the home stretch I think we finish in 6th spot prior to the lottery. I see the turtle race ending up like this:
Toronto
Vancouver
Edmonton
Winnipeg
Columbus
Calgary
Buffalo
Montreal
I ran a draft sim 100 times and we only finished top three 22 times. On average we drafted 9th, getting knocked three full spots! Not surprisingly the Oilers won the draft an astounding 29 times and drafted top three 62 times. I hope our luck in the real lottery is better and Edmonton gets knocked down three full slots.
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Not picking on you specifically, but what's the point of running it 100 times? You're only going to arrive roughly at the published odds which is expected. The Flames at 6th should get roughly 7-8% chance on all three lotteries for 21-24% which is where you arrived.
I do see the do it once a day thing for kicks though.
I'll do it now ... ...
Damn Calgary down one spot and picks 7th.