Quote:
Originally Posted by rubecube
Has the 'Shy Tory' vote been as pronounced in Canada as other places? I'm not sure that it has. I think we can also agree that if voter turnout ends up being higher than normal, along with higher than normal youth vote, that that's probably bad news for the Conservatives.
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I think the shy Tory effect is there, but for whatever reason Nanos tends to be better at capturing real Tory support than other pollsters. At least in past elections. Right now they don't show any stronger CPC support than other pollsters, which suggests that either they aren't capturing the shy Tory effect this time, or it's simply not a factor the way it has been in past elections.