Quote:
Originally Posted by FlamesAddiction
The NDP seemed to have plateaued, while it looks like many soft conservatives may be going to the Liberals. Still a long time until the election, but the recent trajectories suggest it could still be anyone's election to win.
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Definitely agree that it's still anyone's election. The last numbers are really showing what the polls have shown for a while: the race is close, and the NDP may have a narrow lead.
Regionally, the Abacus numbers look a bit worse for the NDP, as they are third in Ontario; but regional samples (being smaller) will tend to show more fluctuation.
Overall, I do kind of get the sense of an electorate that hasn't really settled on a choice yet. A lot of voters who want change are still making up their minds about which opposition party should get their vote. A lot of "soft" conservatives, who might be unhappy with the current government, but not convinced by the NDP or liberals, haven't yet landed on their choice either.