Quote:
Originally Posted by The Fonz
Don't draft a dropper.
You're stock is falling as a 17 year old? Can anyone list players that have worked out after dropping this significantly in their draft years?
I realize Forsberg was a projected 5-ish pick, and dropped to 11th. But that's not on the same level as this Kylington fall we're witnessing. Same with Fowler, but even then... only dropped from 5-ish to 12. Kylington falling out of the 1st round on legitmate rankings? I'd stay away.
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Getzlaf was supposed to be a top 5 pick before falling to the Ducks at 17 and he turned out alright. There are plenty of examples of guys that fell that just had a bad year in their draft year and others that peaked at at 17 heading into their draft year.
It's too hard to tell which it is exactly without having more knowledge about the player and what they are going through. They might have had a nagging injury like a certain #63 that caused him to fall in our lap and is perfectly fine. Or they might just suck like Angelo Esposito.
Kylington is falling, but is that because his offensive output didn't increase this year? He did have the highest offensive totals in Sweden since Erik Karlsson draft year last year, and repeated it this year (played most of this year in the men's league, something that Karlsson didn't do in his draft year).
Karlsson had 10 points in 45 SHL games in the year following being drafted. Kylington had 6 in 32, which is about 8.5 over the same GP, but in his draft year.
That doesn't necessarily mean that Kylington > Karlsson, but it doesn't make a ton of sense why he's falling unless he's a complete disaster in his own zone and has not improved at all (I haven't watched much of his play recently).