Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - [Signing] Iginla to Colorado (3yrs, $5.3mil AAV)

Flash Walken · 08-22-2014, 05:30 PM

I think he had found a real fit on the East Coast, I'm not sure how his game at 37 will translate back to the west.

His linemates are incredible, but, he's in uncharted territory now in terms of what's going to 'go' on him.

http://www.quanthockey.com/nhl/playe...l-players.html
http://www.quanthockey.com/nhl/playe...l-players.html

Iginla's 36 year old season of 61 points puts him 28th, all time, in terms of points in a season by a 36 year old player.

At 37, a season of 61 points would put him 1 point shy of Wayne Gretzky's 62 point season at 37, good enough for 18th All-time.

As you can see, historically, generally every year sees a pretty substantial decline in production. There are always outliers, Joe Sakic scored 13 more points at 37 than he did at 36, Ray Whitney produced 77, then 50s for two season before jumping back to 77, but, generally if you look through the lists, you'll see the difference a year makes. What will make it more difficult for Iginla is that his season of 61 points was with an above average shooting percentage, which is not something that generally trends up with age.

What will make the difference for Iginla this year is his shooting percentage. He'll be playing with talented offensive players, so his shooting percentage of 14.something may be attainable, but, he's probably looking at significantly less touches and shots than in previous seasons due to the calibre of lineup Colorado has, mixed with what are almost certainly diminishing stick skills.

In some respects, the icetime that was available to Iginla in Pittsburgh and Boston probably won't be in Colorado, as the Avs have a deeper offensive team than either of those groups. Where Iginla fit on the right side with Krejci and Lucic, he may not have as solid a spot in the offensive aspect in Colorado. He's their only natural RW at this point I believe, but their lineup is so deep with centre conversions that that may not matter. I also don't think Colorado has a puck distributor as skilled as David Krejci, which was an uncelebrated aspect of Iginla's season last year. He may also have a tough time finding a permanent home based on the matchup situations Colorado is dealing with. Depending on his coverage, he may lose shifts with Landeskog and O'Reilly as they are generally matched up against the opposition's best offensive producers.

08-22-2014, 05:30 PM	#397
Flash Walken Lifetime Suspension Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: The Void between Darkness and Light Exp:	I think he had found a real fit on the East Coast, I'm not sure how his game at 37 will translate back to the west. His linemates are incredible, but, he's in uncharted territory now in terms of what's going to 'go' on him. http://www.quanthockey.com/nhl/playe...l-players.html http://www.quanthockey.com/nhl/playe...l-players.html Iginla's 36 year old season of 61 points puts him 28th, all time, in terms of points in a season by a 36 year old player. At 37, a season of 61 points would put him 1 point shy of Wayne Gretzky's 62 point season at 37, good enough for 18th All-time. As you can see, historically, generally every year sees a pretty substantial decline in production. There are always outliers, Joe Sakic scored 13 more points at 37 than he did at 36, Ray Whitney produced 77, then 50s for two season before jumping back to 77, but, generally if you look through the lists, you'll see the difference a year makes. What will make it more difficult for Iginla is that his season of 61 points was with an above average shooting percentage, which is not something that generally trends up with age. What will make the difference for Iginla this year is his shooting percentage. He'll be playing with talented offensive players, so his shooting percentage of 14.something may be attainable, but, he's probably looking at significantly less touches and shots than in previous seasons due to the calibre of lineup Colorado has, mixed with what are almost certainly diminishing stick skills. In some respects, the icetime that was available to Iginla in Pittsburgh and Boston probably won't be in Colorado, as the Avs have a deeper offensive team than either of those groups. Where Iginla fit on the right side with Krejci and Lucic, he may not have as solid a spot in the offensive aspect in Colorado. He's their only natural RW at this point I believe, but their lineup is so deep with centre conversions that that may not matter. I also don't think Colorado has a puck distributor as skilled as David Krejci, which was an uncelebrated aspect of Iginla's season last year. He may also have a tough time finding a permanent home based on the matchup situations Colorado is dealing with. Depending on his coverage, he may lose shifts with Landeskog and O'Reilly as they are generally matched up against the opposition's best offensive producers.