Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
So I think it is safe to say that Activestick is not part of Bizaro's mafia. I posted a list of people who were inactive during Vig reveal which was as follows
Dsal - poster once immediately after reveal and not again
Agulati - posted once immediately after reveal and not again
Legoman - didnt discuss vig, Stombad also suspects
Activestick - Didnt discuss vig
CBL - didnt discuss Vig
UCB - didnt discuss Vig
Oling - didnt discuss vig
The following didn't post
Aneas - posted shortly after card flip
Baxter Renagade - generally inactive
Flameswin
Dropit
Bizaro, yesterday stated he want to pursue this lead.
Evidence for Activestick
- inactive poster (In my opinion a poor indicator this game)
- Strombad
- inactive during Vig reveal - we got a few dead townies on that list though so the theory might be garbage.
- Voted for both townies lynched
Benefits of Lynching Active stick
- inactive no big loss
- lynching him if he flips town puts suspicion on strombad, and Legoman both of who were singlemindedly focused on one player.
Dangers
- activestick is the cop/doctor and slow playing until he can make a contribuition
I think that summerizes the evidence against activestick. I could vote for him but I still perfer Starseed based on him not appearing on any of Biazro's lists, and his support of the ineedanother strategy. Early on in the game I thought that the support of ineed was an indicator of being town until someone pointed out that ineed posted his first list of suspects before being forced to use his kill.
|
You neglected to mention how bizarro tried to steer the vote away from activestick and transplant, which I think is much stronger evidence than activeStick's activity level. That list has a lot of names on it, he could have had the intention to direct attention to only a couple on that list, then have everyone else abandon the other names.
You are also pressing hard on the angle of me not being on any bizarro targeted list, but that is a pretty weak accusation considering how many people would have been off the lists bizarro went after. As I have already said, the strategy of following a known townie's lead is pretty sound, and I can only see a scenario where the mafia would oppose it. I hate to be the guy who discourages discussion on suspicions, but you have also been throwing around a lot of suspicion since the early accusation against you... which is probably exactly what the mafia would try to do.
I am going to keep my vote on activeStick at this point.