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Old 04-30-2014, 10:49 AM   #102
CaptainCrunch
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dsavillian View Post
The players were incredibly lucky to get off to such a great start last game, it would be foolish to expect that the good guys would have the same good fortune this time around.


I'm leaning towards the pure-random selection myself. Lynching a townie is not worst case scenario. It's not even close.

Lynching scum > Lynching a regular townie >>>>>>>>> lynching a townie with an ability.

87% chance to not lynch a townie with an ability.
27% chance to nab scum.

I don't mind those odds.
Maybe, but the odds are slightly different this time around. With two mobs its two night kills, plus a mistake means that the townies could get chopped down pretty quickly. If there's a wrong guess two or three nights in a row, it would be very bad.

Unless my math sucks.

I'm all for eliminating inactive players, but its what day two and the vote is game four, we can afford to wait for the last minute to see who shows up and who doesn't show up, it also gives us a chance to look at posting habits.
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