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Originally Posted by Sylvanfan
Well that's just it. I don't know enough about the draft pick compensation rules to know one way or the other. Their agents may feel that the draft pick compensation is keeping teams from bidding on them and therefore driving the market value down because certain teams won't bid now. For guys like Santana and Jimeniz, they may feel that now is their time to get that 5 year deal vs. a 3 year deal. So a 3 year 39 million dollar deal is more per year, but they might want the security of a 5 year 55 million dollar deal.
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Such a massive risk and game of chicken. The thing about MLB is that teams can easily have players come out of nowhere and a hot start, especially for a few months. Imagine a team like Toronto, all of the sudden has guys like Happ or McGowan or Redman contributing at a 4.0 ERA or less in May.
That money that they would have offered either of those two guys is completely gone and with that, one of the biggest suitors for your services.
Teams like the Yankees won't be in the running because they don't have interest in signing guys like that to 5 year deals - even if 2 of their starters got hurt, I highly doubt they would bite on a long term deal.
Already the market is slim for teams looking to sign these two decent pitchers to long term deals and if teams luck out and have some 4th or 5th guys step up to the plate, then they won't be getting the money they are looking for.