Quote:
Originally Posted by STeeLy
The complete flip side with regards to breakaways is that you forgot about your team. Yes, all of the above you mentioned could happen, what could also happen is that the opposing team could get a breakaway, and you and the rest of the team gets back in time to prevent any scoring by clearing the rebound/loose puck.
What I think the Flames D should do? They should trust the rest of the team to come back and help.
Chances are, if they were going to score on the breakaway, they're going to score on the penalty shot. You give the shooter a much better chance to score on the penalty shot than on the breakaway. Also, if the breakaway fails, you have a chance to quickly go back the other way and attack with one less defender, there's definitely no chance of that on a penalty shot.
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That's sort of what I was thinking as well. There is a chance my team can get the puck/ball after the failed breakaway and rush the other way. However, at best, that's a 5 vs. 4 rush, and the chances of scoring in that case aren't that high. Besides, I'm not even sure that should even be considered in this scenario, as this is about stats on breakaways vs stats on penalty shots. Does anyone know where some solid numbers might be found?