Quote:
Originally Posted by SebC
Bob McKenzie's list is based on a scout survey. It's a pretty good indicator of where players will go, and thus can be used fairly accurately to assess whether trading up or down should've happened. It has strong predictive value for where guys will go in the draft.
Trading down up and down has to be part of your calculations. If you have a guy ranked well above his consensus spot, your best bet isn't a big reach, but a trade down.
Poirier wasn't the only reach in the draft, nor was he a massive reach, but he's the one I'm talking about because I happen to be a Flames fan.
Heck, if Shinkaruk wasn't on the board I probably wouldn't have minded the pick at all. But Shinkaruk is in a different class of statiscal comparables than Poirier, and that's why it's a big deal.
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Okay yeah, McKenzie's list is a rough idea of where guys will go. He takes info from most of the teams (or all) and their scouts and comes up with a best possibile list. Still, it doesn't matter.
If Montreal had Poirier as high as the Flames did then it doesn't matter if Florida, Tampa, etc didn't, Montreal was up soon and the Flames might didn't want to risk it by moving down.
The guy you want is available... take him for eff sakes.
Glad they did.