Quote:
Originally Posted by Weiser Wonder
The Flames shouldn't even consider a goalie with the first round pick. The Flames already have many decent goaltending prospects in the system. Along with that facts that goalies mature slowly and are extremely difficult to project, it's a no-brainer the Flames should avoid goalies.
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I went back 10 years and then to 2008 (gives plenty of time to see if guy has developed or not) and for the most part 1st round goalies develop as well or better than other first round picks. Not as many stars but starters for the most part.
Guys drafted 20 or later where Fucale would be: Rask, Varlamov, Irving, McCollum, Schnieder. Not a bad group with McCollum and Irving being the only duds and the other 3 being starters.
Overall of the 13 guys picked 1st round 13 guys, 5 duds, 2 stars, 4 starters and Bernier and Montoya who seem to fit somewhere inbetween.
Obviously more work could go into it but taking a quick glance at first round goalies it does seem your chances of getting a NHL player later in the round is at least as good as with forward/defense just not likely to get a star which can (rarely) happen with the skater.