Quote:
Originally Posted by The Yen Man
Yeah...I'm a little rusty on my high school math, but I don't think it works that way. Each year is independent of another year, so you can't just multiply it like that. If you finish last, you have 25% to draft first overall that year, regardless of what your position was the year before.
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Each year is independent with respect to
that pick. So in the first year, they had a 48% chance of picking first.
But what I was saying was that the chance they they managed to pick first
all three years was actually quite low and quite 'lucky'.
The chances of getting all 3 #1 picks, for a team that finishes where the Oilers finished over those 3 years, is in fact what I said above.