Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Assuming a team finished 30th, 30th and 29th over 3 seasons, the chances of them getting 3 1st overall picks, under the prior rules, was 4.3% (48 x 48 x 18.8).
The odds now are 1.2% (25 x 25 x 18.8)
If they keep the rules the way they are now, there is virtually no chance that a team will ever get 3 consecutive 1st overall picks again
Also, the fact that the Oilers did it - even under the old rules - is really, really lucky
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Yeah...I'm a little rusty on my high school math, but I don't think it works that way. Each year is independent of another year, so you can't just multiply it like that. If you finish last, you have 25% to draft first overall that year, regardless of what your position was the year before.