Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
The X-factor, to me, is GOTV. If the NDP underperforms by even two or three percent, that could lose them a lot of competitive seats--and then we could be looking at more like 50-55 seats, with the balance staying in Liberal hands.
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Ya, the GOTV is a factor. Thing is there have been many times politically where it simply gets over-run. The advance polls are intriguing as well; traditionally higher turnout means bad news for incumbents...but that was largely before the NDP surge? Who knows.
I've been contacted in GOTV campaigns before, but I'm way more politcally engaged than the average person...so that stands to reason. How many other voters have done so based on a GOTV campaign pestering them to do so though? I would guess not many. Maybe more now than before the Nenshi campaign 6 months ago though?