Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch
My guess is that Ignatieff is under intense pressure from the senior liberal Cabal to throw the dice on an election, that the Liberal's have waited long enough. I just can't see them doing anything but losing seats.
This is a bad strategy move, because they've suddenly thrown away their ethics platform in exchange for an economics platform, and I don't think that the Liberal's or NDP can successfully fight an election on it. They basically as of today throw all the cards into Harper's hands.
If I remember my parliment, the Conservatives have an opportunity to go back and modify the budget, but the best move by the standing government is to tell the NDP and Liberal's that they had made consessions in the budget to get it passed and that they can't or won't make any more.
I would expect a non confidence vote on Friday and the government to fall, and as much as the opposition is going to make the non confidence about ethics and abuse of parliment, Canadians are going to believe that this government was toppled based on the budget and they're going to hear from the Cons at every turn that they did put concessions in to the budget for the opposition. They're also going to hear loud and clear that the Conservatives refused to give in on the Bloc blackmail for 2.2 billion dollars.
I don't believe that this was a smart move by the opposition, they should have passed the budget, done the non confidence on the ethic position and then had a leg to stand on.
We know that the Liberal's are fairly disgruntled by Ignatieff's leadership, this seems like a really expensive way to effect a leadership revolt and I'm batsh$t surprised that Ignatieff who is a very smart man is willingly putting his head on the chopping block unless he wants to go.
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Flaherty said they would not take an opposition amendments into account.
I, more or less, agree with this post, except that polls, popularity etc... mean nothing until the writ has dropped. Ignatieff has done some pretty heavy work the past year, and the Conservatives have wheel-barrow full of minor offensives that have really racked up.