PREDICTIONS: 2015 Provincial Elections

[CaptainYooh]

This thread is only for your bold predictions of the 2015 Provincial Elections. No discussion, please, as we have a separate thread for that. Closest predictions' authors will get the bragging rights.

My prediction:

• 36 seats PC
• 27 seats WR
• 23 seats NDP
• 1 seat Lib

(Total should be 87 seats)

Let's go!

P.S. I know it's gonna look odd, because I've just edited my post to add this, but no post edits are allowed. If you wanna change your prediction it's fine, just write a new post.

[llwhiteoutll]

39 PC
26 WR
20 NDP
2 Lib

[Muta]

PC minority win. My brain hurts today (its Friday) so no seat projections.


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[Hessen]

I'm going with the PC minority win as well with a Wildrose opposition (although WR and NDP could be close).

[darklord700]

NDP 24-29 (sweep EDM's 19+5-10 extra)
Lib 2-4
WR and PC will split the rest each getting between 25-31 seats.

No matter who's the winner, that party will be a slim minority.

I predict Prentice will tender his resignation right after the election and another election will be called in 2 years time.

By that time Albertans will be done with their romanticism with NDP.

[V]

NPD minority. A slim enough minority that WR and PC will be able to run the show.

[Fuzz]

Ndp 35
wr 26
pc 24
lib 1
ap 1

[_Q_]

Ndp 40
wr 22
pc 22
lib 2
ap 1

[calgarygeologist]

Pc = 29
wrp = 29
ndp = 29

[LanceUppercut]

PC: 36
NDP: 28
WR: 21
Lib: 2
AP: 1

[octothorp]

NDP 38
PC 26
WRP 21
LIB 1
AP 1

NDP runs a surprisingly effective government, working with the WRP primarily in order to pass a lot of the accountability measures that both parties agree on, conceding some government cutbacks (particularly at the managerial level), and slightly increasing corporate taxes for big business to 11%. Neither the WRP or the PC feel that they have enough of an upper-hand to force an election for 3-4 years.

[Nehkara]

Seats

NDP: 43
PC: 26
WR: 16
LIB: 2
AP: 0

Vote Percentage

NDP: 37%
PC: 31%
WR: 25%
LIB: 5%
AP: 2%

Result:

NDP forms a coalition government with the Liberals.

[metallicat]

PC minority.

[Jacks]

At this point I'm not sure that the PC's can recover their vote enough to win. Their support, as the old saying goes, is a mile wide and an inch deep. The NDP are so far ahead in Edm that it's hard to imagine them not taking pretty much every seat, that's a big head start. This is the strangest AB election in my memory.

NDP 36
WR 25
PC 23
LIB 2
AP 1

[Bunk]

Seats

NDP: 35
WR: 25
PC: 24
LIB: 2
AP: 1

Vote Percentage

NDP: 36%
PC: 28%
WR: 27%
LIB: 6%
AP: 3%

[killer_carlson]

NDP 41
WR 19
PC 24
Lib 2
AP 1

[Senator Clay Davis]

What I hope, give or take

NDP - 34
PC - 32
WR - 18
LIB - 3

What's probably going to happen

PC - 40
NDP - 26
WR - 18
LIB - 3

[Resolute 14]

Hard to guess what that massive group of undecideds will do.

At this point, I would guess
NDP - 37
PC - 30.5
WRA - 16
LIB - 3
AP - 0.5

I have no idea who wins between Dirks and Clark.

[GP_Matt]

No one has predicted a majority yet so I am going to go out on a limb and call a PC majority.
PC 45 seats
NDP 22 seats
WRA 18 seats
Liberals 1 seat
AP 1 seat

[Ozy_Flame]

What I hope happens:

AP: 55 seats
NDP: 17 seats
Liberals: 5 seats
PC: 5 seats
WR: 5 seats

What I think will happen:


NDP: 33 seats seats
PC: 31 seats
WR: 17 seats
Liberal: 5 seats
AP: 1 seat (Greg Clark)