Calgarypuck Prospect Ranking 2019 - Round 16

[bubbsy]

Who's lerby??

[united]

Jeremy McKenna
Whether he should be on the list is debatable, but I'm voting based on the players that appear on the list.

One dimensional goal scorer but scoring goals is the most difficult skill in hockey. Excellent at getting open and finding gaps in coverage which allows him to get his hard and accurate shot off. Also terrific on the powerplay. But, his defensive shortcomings significantly reduce his probability of success. Hockey is full of junior snipers who didn't pan out, but there are a few who have turned into mighty good scorers. Over 5 shots per game is insane.

Ceiling: 2nd line W
Probable: Tweener
Floor: Outright bust

After McKenna I don't see anyone else as having anything more than a remote probability of playing above the third line. While McKenna has higher likelihood of busting than some others, his ceiling remains the highest. In other words, his error bar carries more variability.

This is the point in voting where ceiling, to me, starts to give way to playing any games at all in importance. This is also the point where prospects can make big gains or losses in a one-year period of time.

The Pack
Lucas Feuk

Spoiler!

At this stage his game is purely offensive, likely as a winger going forward, but one who plays a gritty game and isn't afraid to go to the tough areas of the ice. Excellent forechecker, but doesn't like his own zone. Good frame with plenty of room for growth over the next few years. Looking forward to him hopefully stepping up a level in competition next season.

Ceiling: 3rd line LW
Probable: Minors/Europe
Floor: Outright bust

Milos Roman

Spoiler!

A cerebral player who doesn't have the physical toolbox of most other draftees. Important player on the best defensive team in the conference as he often lined up against the opposition's best, which may have impacted his slightly disappointing offensive output. Very smart and patient player with a high degree of anticipation whether forechecking or angling in the neutral zone. At this stage his offense is unlikely to translate, but he is excellent defensively.

Ceiling: 4th line C
Probable: Minors/Europe
Floor: Outright bust

Ryan Lomberg

Spoiler!

Well known for his pesty play in the NHL, he actually put together a surprisingly good campaign in the minors which was likely partially the reason he was rewarded with some NHL cash. 0.5 ppg in the AHL with hardly any powerplay time isn't to be disregarded - he outscored Spencer Foo and Glenn Gawdin at 5v5 in fewer games, for example.

Ceiling: 4th line W
Probable: Minor league journeyman
Floor: Minor league journeyman

Glenn Gawdin

Spoiler!

Coming off an enormous WHL season as an overager on the second best team in the league, he had a reasonable first year as a pro - I maintain the leap from junior to the AHL is a huge step for rookies so cut them some slack as a result. That said, just 5 even strength goals in 60+ games is concerning. Next season will be a big one in his development. Right shot gives him a leg up.

Ceiling: 4th line utility player
Probable: Minors/Europe
Floor: Minors/Europe

Luke Philp

Spoiler!

Very interested to see his first season of pro. Completely murdered a league filled with mid-range ex-WHLers/high-end ex-Tier 2 juniors. Likely a hard working journeyman but need some viewings.

Eetu Tuulola

Spoiler!

Massive human being who had an excellent season in Finland. A respectable 36 in 60 but with a shooting % of 6 he likely could've added a few more goals to that point total. As a natural right wing, he could become a defensively responsible banger which is not only coveted by the Flames, but the entire league. Also a big body in front on the powerplay.

Ceiling: 4th line RW
Probable: Europe
Floor: Europe

Josh Nodler

Spoiler!

Decent year of output in the USHL without a ton of powerplay time, but you could counter that by noting he also sported a shooting % of 19. Avoids the difficult areas but plays smart and efficient. Needs to up the intensity and become less of a perimeter player, but the hockey sense as a two-way forward is there.

Ceiling: 4th line utility player
Probable: Minors
Floor: Outright bust

Carl-Johan Lerby

Spoiler!

Adequate two-way defenseman who blossomed with an increased role as a powerplay quarterback this season. Small frame but smooth skater. Needs to get better defensively, but another season of development in Sweden with a big plate of confidence could do wonders.

Ceiling: #6 defenseman
Probable: Minors/Europe
Floor: Minors/Europe

Rinat Valiev

Spoiler!

As expected in Stockton. No nonsense defenseman who can chip in on the powerplay in a pinch but is better suited at evens and killing penalties. Isn't exceptionally good or poor at any aspect of the game.

Ceiling: #6 defenseman
Probable: Journeyman/injury call-up
Floor: Journeyman/injury call-up

Dustin Wolf

Spoiler!

Not much to say. Superhuman season in the WHL following right in the footsteps of Carter Hart. If he were 3+ inches taller he doesn't make it into the third round and possibly goes in the first. The NHL has become obsessed with tall goalies, but the Blues just won the Cup with an undersized goalie, and guys like Jaroslav Halak, Jonathan Quick, Antti Raanta, Philip Grubauer, Anton Khudobin have enjoyed solid careers as small guys. Cautiously optimistic.

N/A
Artem Zagidulin
Nick Schneider

No hope
Spencer Foo
Mitchell Mattson
Linus Lindstrom
Andrew Nielsen
Justin Kirkland
Pavel Karnaukhov

[Bingo]

I'm going to let this wind it's way to 200 votes and see if there's separation. If not another run off for the rest of today and Sunday.

[Flames Draft Watcher]

Originally Posted by bubbsy

Who's lerby??

Swedish puck moving defenseman we signed this summer going back to Europe next season

[CsInMyBlood]

Lomberg for me again. Almost every year there is a guy that gets overlooked by the CP collective, ends up near the bottom of our list and forces himself into the team put of camp. I think Lomberg could very well be the new Hathaway/Jooris story.

Energy, pest with a non stop motor that isnt a detriment on the ice. Pot you a couple goals here and there. A good 4th line, 13th forward type soldier.

[FanIn80]

I obviously voted for Justin Kirkland.